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Luck of the Sea does not give you a Mending book at a published rate. It raises the share of treasure in fishing loot, and a Mending book is one specific outcome that depends on two further random steps. The most defensible number available is the Java Edition treasure-category chance of about 11.3% per eligible catch at Luck of the Sea III. Official Minecraft documentation does not publish a per-cast probability for Mending books, so any single percentage for that outcome goes beyond what can be verified.
What Luck of the Sea actually changes
Minecraft’s official fishing guide states that the enchantment boosts your chance of treasure and reduces your chance of junk, and that the biome you fish in also shapes what you catch (Minecraft.net: Fishing Rod). Microsoft’s Bedrock enchantment reference describes it more briefly as increasing the chance of finding good loot when fishing (Microsoft Learn: Introduction to Enchantments).
Neither source singles out Mending. The enchantment changes the loot distribution as a whole, so its effect on any one item is indirect.
Where the 11.3% figure fits
The Minecraft Wiki’s fishing page, checked in October 2026, lists about an 11.3% chance for the treasure category with Luck of the Sea III in the Java Edition table (Minecraft Wiki: Fishing). Three points limit how that figure can be used:
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- It is the chance of landing in the treasure category, not the chance of a specific item.
- It applies per eligible catch, so it says nothing about how many catches you will make in a given session.
- It comes from a community-maintained reference, not from Mojang, and it is written for Java Edition.
How a Mending book is produced
A Mending book requires three separate events, and each one has its own odds:
- The catch must be treasure. Luck of the Sea affects this step, which is the only step it directly influences.
- The treasure must be an enchanted book. Enchanted books are one of several possible treasure items, so this share is smaller than the treasure chance itself. The Minecraft Wiki’s Enchanted Book page, checked in October 2026, does not tie this step to Luck of the Sea.
- The book’s generated enchantments must include Mending. According to the same page, the enchantments are generated using level-30 enchanting-equivalent probabilities, treasure enchantments are permitted, and the chance of multiple enchantments is not reduced (Minecraft Wiki: Enchanted Book).
Because the second and third steps are not published as exact figures in the official material, the overall Mending-per-cast probability cannot be calculated with confidence from the sources available.
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Conditions that change the odds
Open water in Java Edition
In Java Edition, treasure catches require an open-water setup around the bobber. A small or obstructed pool can prevent treasure from appearing at all, so the treasure percentage above should not be applied to a pool that fails this check (Minecraft Wiki: Fishing).
Wait time is not selection
The official guide says a bite can take five to 30 seconds and that Lure shortens that wait (Minecraft.net: Fishing Rod). Lure affects how many casts you can make per minute, so over a long session it can raise your total attempts. It does not choose Mending or make any particular outcome more likely on a given cast.
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Java and Bedrock are not interchangeable
The figures above come from the Java reference. Bedrock’s official documentation confirms the broad effect of Luck of the Sea and describes Mending’s repair function, but it does not publish the same per-cast table. Java version notes also show that fishing values can change between updates; the Java 1.21 release notes list fishing-related effect fields (Minecraft Feedback: Java Edition 1.21 release notes). Any number you use should therefore be tied to an edition and version.
How to frame a comparison
If you are comparing two fishing setups, keep the following fixed in both:
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- Edition and game version
- Luck of the Sea level
- Whether Java open-water conditions are met
- Catches per minute, which Lure and bite timing affect
Do not compare the 11.3% treasure chance with a Mending-book chance as if they measured the same thing. They are different steps in the same chain.
Independent reader supportYour contribution helps us test, update, and keep practical guides available for everyone.Measuring your own results
If you need a Mending-book rate for your own setup, the most reliable approach is to count outcomes yourself. Record the number of eligible casts, the number of treasure catches, and the number of enchanted books with Mending. Report the result as your own sample, with its edition, version, and enchantment level, rather than as a general probability.
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The official sources cited here are Minecraft Help: All Enchantments in Minecraft for enchantment descriptions and the links above for fishing and book mechanics.
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